Evaluating EA Sports’ Future Stars: Hits, Misses, and Potential

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The Future Stars promo has been a staple of EA Sports' Ultimate Team since FIFA 19, showcasing young talent tipped for stardom. With each new iteration, players are selected based on their potential to become the football stars of tomorrow. However, not every prediction has proven accurate. While many players have gone on to fulfill their promise, others have faded into obscurity, and some are still on the path to greatness.
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This article takes a closer look at the Future Stars players from FIFA 19 through EA FC 24, assessing their progress and whether EA’s predictions were on the money.

How We Scored the Players
To gauge the accuracy of EA's predictions, we compare each player's Future Stars rating with their current rating in EA FC 25. The categories for evaluation are:

HIT: The player is within four ratings of their Future Stars rating.
MISS: The player is five or more ratings lower than their Future Stars rating.
STILL HAS TIME: The player is showing promise in real life, and their rating is increasing consistently in Ultimate Team.
We have not included players from EA FC 25, as it's too early to make a proper assessment.
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FIFA 19 Future Stars
Player Name Future Stars Rating EA FC 25 Rating Difference Result
Vinicius Jr 92 OVR 90 OVR -2 HIT
Matthijs de Ligt 92 OVR 84 OVR -8 MISS
Houssem Aouar 91 OVR 75 OVR -16 MISS
Kai Havertz 90 OVR 83 OVR -7 MISS
Arthur Melo 90 OVR 77 OVR -13 MISS
Frenkie de Jong 90 OVR 87 OVR -3 HIT
Jadon Sancho 90 OVR 82 OVR -8 MISS
Alban Lafont 90 OVR 76 OVR -14 MISS
Rodrigo Bentancur 89 OVR 81 OVR -8 MISS
Trent Alexander-Arnold 89 OVR 86 OVR -3 HIT
Patrick Cutrone 89 OVR 74 OVR -15 MISS
Phil Foden 88 OVR 88 OVR 0 HIT
Summary: Out of 28 players in FIFA 19’s Future Stars, only 9 were classified as hits, with a staggering 17 missing the mark. Notable successes include Vinicius Jr, Frenkie de Jong, and Trent Alexander-Arnold, while players like Houssem Aouar and Arthur Melo failed to live up to their Future Stars ratings.

FIFA 20 Future Stars
Player Name Future Stars Rating EA FC 25 Rating Difference Result
Lautaro Martinez 92 OVR 89 OVR -3 HIT
Erling Haaland 92 OVR 91 OVR -1 HIT
Federico Valverde 91 OVR 88 OVR -4 HIT
Sandro Tonali 91 OVR 85 OVR -6 STILL HAS TIME
Rodrygo 91 OVR 86 OVR -5 STILL HAS TIME
Gabriel Martinelli 90 OVR 83 OVR -7 MISS
Summary: With 9 hits out of 32 players, the FIFA 20 Future Stars promo performed better than FIFA 19. Erling Haaland and Lautaro Martinez remain top-tier players, while others, like Gabriel Martinelli and Mason Greenwood, have not quite reached the heights expected.

FIFA 21 Future Stars
Player Name Future Stars Rating EA FC 25 Rating Difference Result
Ansu Fati 92 OVR 77 OVR -15 MISS
Giovanni Reyna 91 OVR 75 OVR -16 MISS
Eduardo Camavinga 91 OVR 83 OVR -8 STILL HAS TIME
Bukayo Saka 90 OVR 87 OVR -3 HIT
Ruben Dias 88 OVR 88 OVR 0 HIT
Summary: In FIFA 21, 7 out of 30 players made the hit list, with notable successes like Bukayo Saka and Ruben Dias. Ansu Fati, once one of the most highly anticipated players, has struggled with injuries, while Eduardo Camavinga continues to show promise.

FIFA 22 Future Stars
Player Name Future Stars Rating EA FC 25 Rating Difference Result
Pedri 93 OVR 86 OVR -7 MISS
Jude Bellingham 93 OVR 90 OVR -3 HIT
Florian Wirtz 92 OVR 88 OVR -4 HIT
Ryan Gravenberch 92 OVR 78 OVR -14 STILL HAS TIME
Dusan Vlahovic 92 OVR 84 OVR -8 MISS
Summary: FIFA 22’s Future Stars produced 5 hits out of 42 players. Jude Bellingham and Florian Wirtz remain among the most promising talents, while others, like Ryan Gravenberch, continue to develop.

FIFA 23 Future Stars
Player Name Future Stars Rating EA FC 25 Rating Difference Result
Jamal Musiala 92 OVR 87 OVR -5 STILL HAS TIME
Julian Alvarez 92 OVR 84 OVR -8 STILL HAS TIME
Gavi 91 OVR 83 OVR -12 STILL HAS TIME
Josko Gvardiol 89 OVR 83 OVR -6 STILL HAS TIME
Summary: With a handful of players still showing potential, FIFA 23’s Future Stars produced mixed results. Musiala, Alvarez, and Gavi are still young and evolving, but their current ratings reflect the challenge of living up to early expectations.

FIFA 24 Future Stars
Player Name Future Stars Rating EA FC 25 Rating Difference Result
Lauren James 91 OVR 86 OVR -5 HIT
Cole Palmer 91 OVR 85 OVR -6 STILL HAS TIME
Lauren Hemp 91 OVR 86 OVR -5 HIT
Nico Williams 89 OVR 85 OVR -4 HIT
Summary: FIFA 24’s Future Stars seems to be a blend of potential and slow-burning development. With 8 hits and 22 players with still a chance to shine, this year’s selections could still prove valuable in the long run.

Conclusion: A Mixed Record
Looking at the Future Stars selections from FIFA 19 to EA FC 24, it's clear that EA Sports has had a mixed track record in predicting future footballing legends. Players like Vinicius Jr, Jude Bellingham, and Erling Haaland have not only lived up to their ratings but surpassed expectations. However, others, such as Rhian Brewster and Reinier, have been notable misses, with their careers not aligning with the hype.
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As football evolves, so too will EA’s predictions. For the players still developing, there remains hope, and the next few years will likely determine whether EA’s Future Stars selections are ultimately hits or misses.

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